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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
BE

Beto

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts FiorentinaPremier League 26/27

Also in: Serie A

Next match
Fiorentina at Hull City›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Salisbury

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.30 per 90
50%
5 of 101.3×
Total shots2.77 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
Fouls won0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed1.46 per 90
60%
6 of 101.2×
Tackles0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.81 per 90
40%
4 of 102.0×
form only
Assists0.16 per 90
10%
1 of 102.1×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Beto has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Beto in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
BetoFiorentina 372.40 1.84
Thierno BarryEverton 381.77 2.19
Tolu ArokodareWolverhampton 332.94 1.06
Igor JesusNottingham Forest 372.72 1.63
Raúl JiménezWolverhampton 363.02 1.88
Rodrigo MunizFulham 212.89 1.90
These 5, combined 2.64 1.75

Recent matches

The last 10 games Beto featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Bournemouth29 Aug 20 0 1 0 0 0 0
Crystal Palace22 Aug 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ Tottenham24 May 18 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sunderland17 May 73 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ Crystal Palace10 May 70 1 2 0 0 0 0
Man City4 May 64 0 2 2 1 0 1
Liverpool19 Apr 73 2 4 1 0 1 0
@ Brentford11 Apr 74 1 2 1 0 0 0
Chelsea21 Mar 81 3 3 2 0 1 0
@ Arsenal14 Mar 69 1 1 2 0 0 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 11 games Beto booked in 1 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 8 games Beto booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Samuel Barrott 7 games Beto booked in 1 3.92cards/game 0.96×vs league
Stuart Attwell 7 games Beto booked in 1 4.28cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Beto have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Beto has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Beto average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Beto is averaging 1.30 shots on target and 2.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Beto get booked?

Beto is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Beto commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Beto commits 1.46 fouls per 90 and wins 0.16 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Beto?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Beto plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.