Bukayo Saka
Winger 97% of 30 recent starts ArsenalPremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League winger, 25/26, 1,770 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Bukayo Saka has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
The closest 5 profiles to Bukayo Saka in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 60 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bukayo SakaArsenal | 31 | 2.87 | 1.33 |
| Matheus CunhaManchester United | 33 | 3.24 | 0.97 |
| Cody GakpoLiverpool FC | 36 | 2.84 | 1.37 |
| Bertrand TraoréWolverhampton | 12 | 1.83 | 1.55 |
| Anthony GordonNewcastle United | 26 | 2.38 | 0.64 |
| Dango OuattaraBrentford | 32 | 2.21 | 1.07 |
| These 5, combined | 2.65 | 1.08 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Bukayo Saka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Brighton19 Sep | 81 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland12 Sep | 90 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Chelsea6 Sep | 89 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Aston Villa31 Aug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Coventry City21 Aug | 68 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Burnley18 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| @ West Ham10 May | 80 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Fulham2 May | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Newcastle25 Apr | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Everton14 Mar | 90 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Bukayo Saka have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Bukayo Saka has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Bukayo Saka average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Bukayo Saka is averaging 1.35 shots on target and 3.32 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Bukayo Saka get booked?
Bukayo Saka is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Bukayo Saka commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Bukayo Saka commits 1.11 fouls per 90 and wins 2.46 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Bukayo Saka?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Bukayo Saka plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.