Eddie Nketiah
Striker 73% of 30 recent starts Crystal PalacePremier League 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Eddie Nketiah has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Eddie Nketiah in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 44 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie NketiahCrystal Palace | 12 | 3.25 | 1.51 |
| Joshua ZirkzeeManchester United | 24 | 3.38 | 1.22 |
| RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur | 32 | 2.81 | 1.06 |
| Raúl JiménezWolverhampton | 36 | 3.02 | 1.88 |
| Omar MarmoushTottenham Hotspur | 21 | 3.68 | 1.23 |
| Taiwo AwoniyiCoventry City | 17 | 2.69 | 1.79 |
| These 5, combined | 3.04 | 1.45 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Eddie Nketiah featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Leeds20 Sep | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham5 Sep | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Man City28 Aug | 68 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Everton22 Aug | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Tottenham28 Dec | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Leeds20 Dec | 77 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Man City14 Dec | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham7 Dec | 65 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Burnley3 Dec | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Man Utd30 Nov | 52 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Eddie Nketiah have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Eddie Nketiah has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Eddie Nketiah average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Eddie Nketiah is averaging 1.19 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Eddie Nketiah get booked?
Eddie Nketiah is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Eddie Nketiah commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Eddie Nketiah commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 0.79 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Eddie Nketiah?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Eddie Nketiah plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.