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Premier League · 25/26
MA

Matthijs de Ligt

Defender · Man Utd · Premier League 25/26

In 25/26, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 23% of his 13 Premier League appearances (3 of 13), 1+ total shot in 54%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, and 1+ foul won in 38%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 13). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 42 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.20
50%5 of 10
0.70
40%4 of 10
0.40
40%4 of 10
0.50
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Man Utd at Hull City
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Crystal Palace30 Nov 90 0 1 1 0 0
Everton24 Nov 90 1 3 0 1 0
@ Tottenham8 Nov 90 1 1 0 0 0
@ Nottingham Forest1 Nov 90 0 0 0 0 0
Brighton25 Oct 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Liverpool19 Oct 90 0 1 1 1 0
Sunderland4 Oct 90 0 0 0 0 0
@ Brentford27 Sep 90 0 1 1 1 0
Chelsea20 Sep 90 0 0 2 1 0
@ Man City14 Sep 90 0 0 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Matthijs de Ligt have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 23% of his 13 Premier League appearances (3 of 13). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Matthijs de Ligt average?

Across 13 Premier League appearances in 25/26, Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.23 shots on target and 0.85 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matthijs de Ligt get booked?

Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matthijs de Ligt commit or win more fouls?

This season Matthijs de Ligt commits 0.46 fouls per 90 and wins 0.38 — more than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matthijs de Ligt?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Matthijs de Ligt plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.