Matthijs de Ligt
Centre-back 50% of 30 recent starts Man UtdPremier League 25/26
Also in: Bundesliga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Matthijs de Ligt in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthijs de LigtManchester United | 13 | 0.85 | 0.46 |
| Michael KeaneEverton | 33 | 0.89 | 0.55 |
| Sepp van den BergBrentford | 32 | 0.75 | 0.49 |
| Konstantinos MavropanosWest Ham United | 31 | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| Joe RodonLeeds United | 35 | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| Malick ThiawNewcastle United | 35 | 0.85 | 0.73 |
| These 5, combined | 0.77 | 0.57 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Crystal Palace30 Nov | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Everton24 Nov | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham8 Nov | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest1 Nov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brighton25 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool19 Oct | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland4 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Brentford27 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Chelsea20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Man City14 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 5 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Matthijs de Ligt have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matthijs de Ligt average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.20 shots on target and 0.70 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matthijs de Ligt get booked?
Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matthijs de Ligt commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt commits 0.50 fouls per 90 and wins 0.40 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matthijs de Ligt?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matthijs de Ligt plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.