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Bundesliga · 25/26
MA

Matthijs de Ligt

Defender · FC Bayern München · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
20%2 of 10
0.24
40%4 of 10
0.48
50%5 of 10
0.72
20%2 of 10
0.24
10%1 of 10
0.12
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Fri 28 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ TSG Hoffenheim18 May 90 0 1 0 1 0
VfL Wolfsburg12 May 16 0 0 0 0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt27 Apr 45 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Köln13 Apr 61 0 1 0 2 0
Borussia Dortmund30 Mar 90 0 0 0 1 0
@ Darmstadt 9816 Mar 90 0 0 1 1 0
1. FSV Mainz 059 Mar 90 0 0 0 0 0
RB Leipzig24 Feb 90 0 0 1 0 1
@ VfL Bochum 184818 Feb 90 1 1 0 1 0
Borussia M'gladbach3 Feb 90 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Christian Dingert 4 games · Matthijs de Ligt booked in 2 4.31cards/game 1.05×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 4 games · Matthijs de Ligt booked in 2 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 4 games · Matthijs de Ligt booked in 1 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Daniel Schlager 4 games · Matthijs de Ligt never booked 4.45cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Matthijs de Ligt have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Matthijs de Ligt average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Matthijs de Ligt get booked?

Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Matthijs de Ligt commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt commits 0.24 fouls per 90 and wins 0.72 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matthijs de Ligt?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Matthijs de Ligt plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.