Matthijs de Ligt
Centre-back 83% of 30 recent starts Man UtdBundesliga 23/24
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Matthijs de Ligt has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Premier League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthijs de LigtManchester UnitedPremier League | 13 | 0.85 | 0.46 |
| Patrick Mainka1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Willi OrbánRB Leipzig | 33 | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| Cenk Özkaçar1. FC Köln | 25 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| Robin KochEintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| Waldemar AntonBorussia Dortmund | 32 | 0.50 | 0.84 |
| These 5, combined | 0.66 | 0.67 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ TSG Hoffenheim18 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg12 May | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt27 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln13 Apr | 61 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund30 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Darmstadt 9816 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 059 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig24 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ VfL Bochum 184818 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach3 Feb | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Matthijs de Ligt have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthijs de Ligt has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Matthijs de Ligt average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.24 shots on target and 0.48 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matthijs de Ligt get booked?
Matthijs de Ligt is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matthijs de Ligt commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Matthijs de Ligt commits 0.24 fouls per 90 and wins 0.72 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matthijs de Ligt?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Matthijs de Ligt plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.