What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League central midfielder, 25/26, 2,542 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Orel Mangala has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
Orel Mangala has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the La Liga 26/27 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orel MangalaGetafeLa Liga | 7 | 0.49 | 1.95 |
| Bernardo SilvaManchester City | 38 | 0.93 | 1.15 |
| Ibrahim SangaréNottingham Forest | 28 | 0.69 | 1.82 |
| Conor GallagherTottenham Hotspur | 16 | 0.83 | 1.96 |
| Ilia GruevLeeds United | 23 | 0.47 | 1.08 |
| Carlos BalebaManchester United | 31 | 1.07 | 1.66 |
| These 5, combined | 0.82 | 1.49 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Orel Mangala featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Brighton25 Jan | 84 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tottenham19 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Aston Villa15 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bournemouth4 Jan | 45 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Nottingham Forest29 Dec | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man City26 Dec | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chelsea22 Dec | 90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal14 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves4 Dec | 89 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Man Utd1 Dec | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Orel Mangala have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Orel Mangala has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Orel Mangala average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Orel Mangala is averaging 0.58 shots on target and 1.15 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Orel Mangala get booked?
Orel Mangala is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Orel Mangala commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Orel Mangala commits 1.38 fouls per 90 and wins 0.92 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Orel Mangala?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Orel Mangala plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.