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SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
RI

Rico Lewis

Full-back 77% of 30 recent starts Man CityPremier League 26/27

Next match
Man City at Liverpool FC›
Sun 11 OctReferee Chris Kavanagh

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.28 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
6.50bet365Edge
Total shots0.83 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
2.62bet365Edge
Fouls won2.50 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.40bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.39 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.73bet365Edge
Tackles0.56 per 90
10%
1 of 100.1×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.56 per 90
20%
2 of 101.3×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rico Lewis has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Rico Lewis in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 62 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Rico LewisManchester City 110.64 1.06
Myles Lewis-SkellyArsenal 200.25 1.25
Rico HenryBrentford 250.34 1.01
Destiny UdogieTottenham Hotspur 200.27 1.14
Aaron HickeyBrentford 210.75 0.88
Adam SmithBournemouth 220.00 1.56
These 5, combined 0.29 1.18

Recent matches

The last 10 games Rico Lewis featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Bournemouth23 Aug 57 1 1 1 2 0 0
Aston Villa24 May 90 0 1 1 2 0 1
@ Man Utd17 Jan 90 0 1 2 2 2 1
Brighton7 Jan 17 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Ham20 Dec 23 0 0 1 2 0 0
@ Crystal Palace14 Dec 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sunderland6 Dec 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
Everton18 Oct 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Burnley27 Sep 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Brighton31 Aug 14 0 0 0 1 0 0
Officials on record
Andy Madley 8 games Rico Lewis booked in 1 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Michael Oliver 7 games Rico Lewis never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Paul Tierney 6 games Rico Lewis never booked 3.74cards/game 0.92×vs league
John Brooks 5 games Rico Lewis booked in 2 4.59cards/game 1.12×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Rico Lewis have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Rico Lewis has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Rico Lewis average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Rico Lewis is averaging 0.28 shots on target and 0.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Rico Lewis get booked?

Rico Lewis is averaging 0.56 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Rico Lewis commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Rico Lewis commits 1.39 fouls per 90 and wins 2.50 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rico Lewis?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rico Lewis plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.