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Serie A 25/26
LO

Lorenzo Pellegrini

Attacking midfielder 77% of 30 recent starts AS RomaSerie A 25/26

Next match
AS Roma at Como›
Sun 11 OctReferee Michael Fabbri

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A attacking midfielder, 25/26, 694 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
1.80PPEdge
Total shots1.05 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.20PPEdge
Fouls won2.49 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.9×
1.30PPEdge
Fouls committed1.31 per 90
70%
7 of 101.4×
1.50PPEdge
Tackles0.92 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
4.00PPEdge
Goals0.13 per 90
10%
1 of 100.8×
form only
Assists0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 102.3×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lorenzo Pellegrini has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 100%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Lorenzo Pellegrini in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 25 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lorenzo PellegriniAS Roma 241.95 1.22
Nicola ZalewskiAtalanta 331.79 0.99
Giovanni FabbianParma 291.61 1.46
Matías SouléAS Roma 332.16 0.29
Tommaso BaldanziGenoa 182.28 1.14
Paulo DybalaAS Roma 222.86 0.73
These 5, combined 2.12 0.83

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lorenzo Pellegrini featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Pisa10 Apr 45 0 1 1 4 0 0
@ Inter5 Apr 90 1 2 0 3 1 0
Lecce22 Mar 80 1 1 2 1 0 0
@ Como15 Mar 67 0 0 0 2 1 0
@ Genoa8 Mar 56 0 0 2 1 1 0
Juventus1 Mar 89 0 1 1 3 2 0
Cremonese22 Feb 72 0 2 1 1 0 0
@ SSC Napoli15 Feb 65 0 0 0 2 0 0
Cagliari9 Feb 57 0 1 2 1 0 0
@ Udinese2 Feb 67 0 0 1 1 2 1
Officials on record
Simone Sozza 10 games Lorenzo Pellegrini booked in 1 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league
Davide Massa 10 games Lorenzo Pellegrini never booked 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Andrea Colombo 8 games Lorenzo Pellegrini never booked 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Marco Guida 7 games Lorenzo Pellegrini booked in 2 4.14cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lorenzo Pellegrini have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lorenzo Pellegrini has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lorenzo Pellegrini average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Lorenzo Pellegrini is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 1.05 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lorenzo Pellegrini get booked?

Lorenzo Pellegrini is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lorenzo Pellegrini commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lorenzo Pellegrini commits 1.31 fouls per 90 and wins 2.49 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lorenzo Pellegrini?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lorenzo Pellegrini plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.