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Serie A · 25/26
LU

Luka Jović

Forward · AC Milan · Serie A 25/26

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Luka Jović has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, and 1+ foul won in 40%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
0.78
60%6 of 10
1.75
40%4 of 10
0.97
20%2 of 10
0.39
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
AC Milan at Torino
Sun 23 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luka Jović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Monza24 May 45 0 0 0 0 0
@ AS Roma18 May 25 0 1 0 0 0
Bologna9 May 65 1 1 0 1 0
@ Genoa5 May 70 0 0 0 1 0
Atalanta20 Apr 75 0 1 0 0 0
@ Udinese11 Apr 73 0 0 0 2 0
Fiorentina5 Apr 67 1 2 1 0 0
@ SSC Napoli30 Mar 11 1 3 0 0 0
Lazio2 Mar 17 0 0 1 1 0
@ Bologna27 Feb 14 1 1 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Luka Jović have a shot on target?

Over his last 10 Serie A games, Luka Jović has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Luka Jović average?

Across his last 10 Serie A games, Luka Jović is averaging 0.78 shots on target and 1.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luka Jović get booked?

Luka Jović is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luka Jović commit or win more fouls?

Over his last 10 games Luka Jović commits 0.39 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luka Jović?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Luka Jović plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.