Luka Jović
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts AC MilanSerie A 24/25
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Luka Jović has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luka Jović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza24 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma18 May | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna9 May | 65 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Genoa5 May | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Atalanta20 Apr | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Udinese11 Apr | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Fiorentina5 Apr | 67 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli30 Mar | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio2 Mar | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bologna27 Feb | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luka Jović have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Luka Jović has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luka Jović average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Luka Jović is averaging 0.78 shots on target and 1.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luka Jović get booked?
Luka Jović is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luka Jović commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luka Jović commits 0.39 fouls per 90 and wins 0.97 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luka Jović?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luka Jović plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.