Marko Arnautović
Striker 100% of 28 recent starts InterSerie A 24/25
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Marko Arnautović has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Marko Arnautović has no Serie A record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Europa League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Serie A strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marko ArnautovićFK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa League | 10 | 2.57 | 1.62 |
| Santiago CastroAS Roma | 35 | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| Rafael LeãoGalatasaray | 29 | 3.05 | 0.92 |
| M'bala NzolaCagliari | 30 | 2.31 | 1.72 |
| Santiago GiménezFC Porto | 16 | 2.71 | 1.00 |
| Anastasios DouvikasComo | 38 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| These 5, combined | 2.60 | 1.30 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Marko Arnautović featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Como23 May | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio18 May | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hellas Verona3 May | 77 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Roma27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bologna20 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cagliari12 Apr | 59 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Parma5 Apr | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Udinese30 Mar | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Monza8 Mar | 70 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fiorentina10 Feb | 49 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Marko Arnautović have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Marko Arnautović has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Marko Arnautović average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Marko Arnautović is averaging 1.21 shots on target and 2.22 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Marko Arnautović get booked?
Marko Arnautović is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Marko Arnautović commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Marko Arnautović commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.01 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marko Arnautović?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marko Arnautović plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.