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Serie A 25/26
NI

Nicolò Casale

Centre-back 93% of 30 recent starts BolognaSerie A 25/26

Next match
Bologna at Lecce›
Sun 11 OctReferee Luca Pairetto

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
7.00PPEdge
Total shots0.72 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
2.10PPEdge
Fouls won0.58 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.80PPEdge
Fouls committed2.16 per 90
70%
7 of 101.2×
1.25PPEdge
Tackles1.01 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
5.50PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Casale has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Nicolò Casale in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 53 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nicolò CasaleBologna 120.66 1.97
Torbjørn HeggemBologna 270.47 1.32
Lloyd KellyJuventus 350.51 1.29
Pietro ComuzzoTorino 270.53 1.27
Isak HienAtalanta 280.41 1.65
Francesco FolinoCremonese 180.24 1.34
These 5, combined 0.46 1.37

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nicolò Casale featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Lecce12 Apr 90 0 1 5 1 1 0
@ Pisa2 Mar 69 0 1 2 0 0 0
AC Milan3 Feb 90 0 1 2 1 3 0
@ Genoa25 Jan 90 0 0 1 0 2 0
Fiorentina18 Jan 90 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ Como10 Jan 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Lazio7 Dec 39 0 0 1 0 0 0
Cremonese1 Dec 45 0 2 0 0 0 0
@ Udinese22 Nov 90 0 0 3 1 1 0
SSC Napoli9 Nov 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Andrea Colombo 6 games Nicolò Casale booked in 1 4.80cards/game 1.15×vs league
Fabio Maresca 6 games Nicolò Casale booked in 1 5.35cards/game 1.28×vs league
Davide Massa 5 games Nicolò Casale booked in 1 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Luca Pairetto 4 games Nicolò Casale booked in 2 4.65cards/game 1.11×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nicolò Casale have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Casale has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nicolò Casale average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Nicolò Casale is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.72 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nicolò Casale get booked?

Nicolò Casale is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nicolò Casale commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nicolò Casale commits 2.16 fouls per 90 and wins 0.58 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nicolò Casale?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nicolò Casale plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.