João Cancelo
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, João Cancelo has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games João Cancelo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ 1. FC Köln27 May | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig20 May | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| FC Schalke 0413 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen6 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Hertha BSC30 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0522 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim15 Apr | 80 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg8 Apr | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund1 Apr | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen19 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does João Cancelo have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, João Cancelo has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does João Cancelo average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, João Cancelo is averaging 0.26 shots on target and 0.77 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does João Cancelo get booked?
João Cancelo is averaging 0.26 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does João Cancelo commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games João Cancelo commits 0.77 fouls per 90 and wins 1.29 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for João Cancelo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. João Cancelo plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.