Leon Goretzka
Central midfielder 93% of 30 recent starts Aston VillaBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances
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In 25/26, Leon Goretzka has hit 1+ shot on target in 26% of 31 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 31), 1+ total shot in 58%, 1+ foul committed in 39%, 1+ foul won in 39%, and been booked in 13% (4 of 31). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Leon Goretzka in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leon GoretzkaAston Villa | 31 | 1.61 | 0.69 |
| Farès ChaïbiEintracht Frankfurt | 28 | 1.75 | 0.70 |
| Julian Niehues1. FC Heidenheim | 24 | 1.22 | 0.64 |
| Christian EriksenVfL Wolfsburg | 33 | 1.47 | 0.45 |
| Kristijan JakićFC Augsburg | 26 | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Florian NeuhausBorussia M'gladbach | 17 | 2.11 | 0.86 |
| These 5, combined | 1.47 | 0.67 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Leon Goretzka featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln16 May | 83 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg9 May | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim2 May | 90 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart19 Apr | 90 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli11 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg4 Apr | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar | 87 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Mar | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach6 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 19 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Leon Goretzka have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Leon Goretzka has hit 1+ shot on target in 26% of 31 Bundesliga appearances (8 of 31). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Leon Goretzka average?
Across 31 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Leon Goretzka is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 1.61 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Leon Goretzka get booked?
Leon Goretzka is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Leon Goretzka commit or win more fouls?
This season Leon Goretzka commits 0.69 fouls per 90 and wins 0.74 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Leon Goretzka?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Leon Goretzka plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.