Nelson Weiper
Striker 100% of 11 recent starts 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
In 25/26, Nelson Weiper has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 24), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 21%, 1+ foul won in 12%, and been booked in 4% (1 of 24). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Nelson Weiper in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Weiper1. FSV Mainz 05 | 24 | 2.00 | 0.92 |
| Jovan MiloševićSV Werder Bremen | 13 | 2.16 | 1.44 |
| Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund | 28 | 2.50 | 2.07 |
| Rodrigo RibeiroFC Augsburg | 14 | 3.70 | 1.42 |
| Andreas HountondjiBurnley | 21 | 1.74 | 0.75 |
| Phillip Tietz1. FSV Mainz 05 | 29 | 2.59 | 1.89 |
| These 5, combined | 2.49 | 1.56 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nelson Weiper featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim16 May | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin10 May | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli3 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München25 Apr | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia M'gladbach19 Apr | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Freiburg12 Apr | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt22 Mar | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen15 Mar | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart7 Mar | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund13 Feb | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nelson Weiper have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Nelson Weiper has hit 1+ shot on target in 21% of 24 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 24). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nelson Weiper average?
Across 24 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nelson Weiper is averaging 0.92 shots on target and 2.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nelson Weiper get booked?
Nelson Weiper is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nelson Weiper commit or win more fouls?
This season Nelson Weiper commits 0.92 fouls per 90 and wins 0.46 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nelson Weiper?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nelson Weiper plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.