Raphaël Guerreiro
Full-back 57% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances
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In 25/26, Raphaël Guerreiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 28% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 18), 1+ total shot in 56%, 1+ foul committed in 17%, 1+ foul won in 11%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Raphaël Guerreiro in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raphaël GuerreiroFC Bayern München | 18 | 1.34 | 0.34 |
| Aaron ZehnterVfL Wolfsburg | 20 | 0.68 | 0.12 |
| Yukinari SugawaraCagliari | 31 | 1.11 | 0.81 |
| Tom BischofFC Bayern München | 26 | 2.05 | 1.02 |
| Josha VagnomanVfB Stuttgart | 27 | 1.07 | 0.96 |
| Josip StanišićFC Bayern München | 26 | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| These 5, combined | 1.01 | 0.66 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Raphaël Guerreiro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln16 May | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart19 Apr | 76 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC St. Pauli11 Apr | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg4 Apr | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia M'gladbach6 Mar | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln14 Jan | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg11 Jan | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim21 Dec | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Raphaël Guerreiro have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Raphaël Guerreiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 28% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Raphaël Guerreiro average?
Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Raphaël Guerreiro is averaging 0.56 shots on target and 1.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Raphaël Guerreiro get booked?
Raphaël Guerreiro is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Raphaël Guerreiro commit or win more fouls?
This season Raphaël Guerreiro commits 0.34 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Raphaël Guerreiro?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Raphaël Guerreiro plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.