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Bundesliga · 25/26
RA

Raphaël Guerreiro

Defender · FC Bayern München · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Raphaël Guerreiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 28% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 18), 1+ total shot in 56%, 1+ foul committed in 17%, 1+ foul won in 11%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
0.57
50%5 of 10
1.34
10%1 of 10
0.19
10%1 of 10
0.19
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Fri 28 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Raphaël Guerreiro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
1. FC Köln16 May 20 0 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0525 Apr 57 0 1 0 0 0
VfB Stuttgart19 Apr 76 1 2 0 1 0
@ FC St. Pauli11 Apr 90 1 2 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg4 Apr 56 0 0 1 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar 29 0 0 0 0 0
Borussia M'gladbach6 Mar 30 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln14 Jan 8 0 0 0 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg11 Jan 33 1 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim21 Dec 72 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Tobias Stieler 9 games · Raphaël Guerreiro never booked 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Daniel Schlager 7 games · Raphaël Guerreiro never booked 4.45cards/game 1.09×vs league
Frank Willenborg 6 games · Raphaël Guerreiro booked in 1 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 5 games · Raphaël Guerreiro booked in 1 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Raphaël Guerreiro have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Raphaël Guerreiro has hit 1+ shot on target in 28% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (5 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Raphaël Guerreiro average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Raphaël Guerreiro is averaging 0.56 shots on target and 1.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Raphaël Guerreiro get booked?

Raphaël Guerreiro is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Raphaël Guerreiro commit or win more fouls?

This season Raphaël Guerreiro commits 0.34 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Raphaël Guerreiro?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Raphaël Guerreiro plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.