Serge Gnabry
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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In 25/26, Serge Gnabry has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 21), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 19%, and been booked in 5% (1 of 21). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable attacking midfielders
The closest 5 profiles to Serge Gnabry in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serge GnabryFC Bayern München | 21 | 3.66 | 0.66 |
| Lennart KarlFC Bayern München | 26 | 2.95 | 0.35 |
| Andrej KramarićTSG Hoffenheim | 34 | 2.59 | 0.20 |
| Julian BrandtBorussia Dortmund | 29 | 2.05 | 0.44 |
| Yuito SuzukiSC Freiburg | 25 | 2.09 | 1.05 |
| Bilal El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart | 25 | 2.31 | 1.05 |
| These 5, combined | 2.39 | 0.60 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Serge Gnabry featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg4 Apr | 65 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar | 87 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb | 62 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen14 Feb | 69 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb | 63 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hamburger SV31 Jan | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig17 Jan | 87 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Köln14 Jan | 67 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Serge Gnabry have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Serge Gnabry has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 21). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Serge Gnabry average?
Across 21 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Serge Gnabry is averaging 1.25 shots on target and 3.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Serge Gnabry get booked?
Serge Gnabry is averaging 0.07 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Serge Gnabry commit or win more fouls?
This season Serge Gnabry commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.44 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Serge Gnabry?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Serge Gnabry plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.