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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Serge Gnabry

Forward · FC Bayern München · Bundesliga 25/26

In 25/26, Serge Gnabry has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 21), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 19%, and been booked in 5% (1 of 21). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
1.34
90%Hot9 of 10
3.87
30%3 of 10
0.75
30%3 of 10
0.45
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart
Fri 28 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Serge Gnabry featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ SC Freiburg4 Apr 65 0 3 1 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar 87 2 7 0 3 0
@ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb 62 0 2 1 1 0
Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb 12 1 2 0 0 0
@ SV Werder Bremen14 Feb 69 1 1 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb 63 0 3 0 0 0
@ Hamburger SV31 Jan 65 0 2 0 1 0
@ RB Leipzig17 Jan 87 2 3 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln14 Jan 67 3 3 1 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim21 Dec 27 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 9 games · Serge Gnabry never booked 4.25cards/game 1.04×vs league
Felix Zwayer 7 games · Serge Gnabry never booked 4.39cards/game 1.07×vs league
Tobias Stieler 6 games · Serge Gnabry never booked 3.37cards/game 0.82×vs league
Bastian Dankert 5 games · Serge Gnabry never booked 3.55cards/game 0.87×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Serge Gnabry have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Serge Gnabry has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 21). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Serge Gnabry average?

Across 21 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Serge Gnabry is averaging 1.25 shots on target and 3.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Serge Gnabry get booked?

Serge Gnabry is averaging 0.07 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Serge Gnabry commit or win more fouls?

This season Serge Gnabry commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.44 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Serge Gnabry?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Serge Gnabry plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.