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Bundesliga 26/27
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Serge Gnabry

Attacking midfielder 43% of 30 recent starts FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga 26/27

Next match
FC Bayern München at FC Augsburg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Sven Jablonski

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.37 per 90
50%
5 of 101.5×
1.72MGMEdge
Total shots4.12 per 90
100%Hot
10 of 101.5×
1.07MGMEdge
Fouls won0.76 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.73bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.46 per 90
30%
3 of 100.7×
1.25bet365Edge
Tackles1.07 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
13.00bet365Edge
Goals0.61 per 90
30%
3 of 102.1×
form only
Assists0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Serge Gnabry has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 21), 1+ total shot in 86%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 19%, and been booked in 5% (1 of 21). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Serge Gnabry in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Serge GnabryFC Bayern München 213.66 0.66
Lennart KarlFC Bayern München 262.95 0.35
Andrej KramarićTSG Hoffenheim 342.59 0.20
Julian BrandtBorussia Dortmund 292.05 0.44
Yuito SuzukiSC Freiburg 252.09 1.05
Bilal El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart 252.31 1.05
These 5, combined 2.39 0.60

Recent matches

The last 10 games Serge Gnabry featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FC Union Berlin18 Sep 13 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ SC Freiburg4 Apr 65 0 3 1 0 2 0
1. FC Union Berlin21 Mar 87 2 7 0 3 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund28 Feb 62 0 2 1 1 2 0
Eintracht Frankfurt21 Feb 12 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ SV Werder Bremen14 Feb 69 1 1 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim8 Feb 63 0 3 0 0 0 0
@ Hamburger SV31 Jan 65 0 2 0 1 0 0
@ RB Leipzig17 Jan 87 2 3 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Köln14 Jan 67 3 3 1 0 1 0
Officials on record
Daniel Siebert 9 games Serge Gnabry never booked 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Felix Zwayer 7 games Serge Gnabry never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Tobias Stieler 6 games Serge Gnabry never booked 3.42cards/game 0.84×vs league
Bastian Dankert 5 games Serge Gnabry never booked 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 17 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Serge Gnabry have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Serge Gnabry has hit 1+ shot on target in 52% of 21 Bundesliga appearances (11 of 21). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Serge Gnabry average?

Across 21 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Serge Gnabry is averaging 1.25 shots on target and 3.66 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Serge Gnabry get booked?

Serge Gnabry is averaging 0.07 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Serge Gnabry commit or win more fouls?

This season Serge Gnabry commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.44 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Serge Gnabry?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Serge Gnabry plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.