Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Championship 26/27
RA

Rayan Kolli

Striker 89% of 19 recent starts Queens Park RangersChampionship 26/27

Next match
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County›
Wed 14 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.19 per 90
30%
3 of 100.8×
Total shots2.24 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
Fouls won2.24 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 102.1×
Fouls committed1.19 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles0.30 per 90
20%
2 of 100.7×
20%
2 of 102.7×
Cards0.15 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.45 per 90
20%
2 of 101.2×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Championship games, Rayan Kolli has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Rayan Kolli in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Rayan KolliQueens Park Rangers 12.61 2.61
Yousef SalechCardiff City 83.09 1.41
Cyle LarinSouthampton 84.97 2.11
Will LankshearMiddlesbrough 83.46 1.86
Mohamed TouréNorwich City 72.17 0.99
Rumarn BurrellQueens Park Rangers 82.27 0.91
These 5, combined 3.24 1.49

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Rayan Kolli featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ West Ham9 Oct 69 2 2 2 1 0 0
Swansea City21 Apr 60 0 1 0 1 0 0
Bristol City11 Apr 68 0 1 0 3 1 0
@ Preston North End6 Apr 72 0 1 0 1 0 0
Watford3 Apr 45 4 4 3 3 0 1
Portsmouth21 Mar 83 2 3 1 2 0 0
@ Leicester14 Mar 72 0 0 1 2 0 0
@ Birmingham City11 Mar 45 0 3 0 1 0 0
Sheffield United28 Feb 45 0 0 1 1 1 0
@ Southampton24 Feb 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Oliver Langford 4 games Rayan Kolli never booked 3.75cards/game 0.94×vs league
Anthony Backhouse 3 games Rayan Kolli booked in 1 4.47cards/game 1.11×vs league
Andrew Kitchen 3 games Rayan Kolli never booked 3.21cards/game 0.80×vs league
David Webb 3 games Rayan Kolli never booked 3.19cards/game 0.80×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees

Frequently asked

How often does Rayan Kolli have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Rayan Kolli has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Rayan Kolli average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Rayan Kolli is averaging 1.19 shots on target and 2.24 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Rayan Kolli get booked?

Rayan Kolli is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Rayan Kolli commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Rayan Kolli commits 1.19 fouls per 90 and wins 2.24 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Rayan Kolli?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Rayan Kolli plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.