Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Premier League 26/27
FE

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Full-back 87% of 30 recent starts BrightonPremier League 26/27

Next match
Brighton at Sunderland›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Bramall

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 47 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.51 per 90
30%
3 of 102.5×
3.70MGMEdge
Total shots1.03 per 90
70%
7 of 102.0×
1.57bet365Edge
Fouls won0.62 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
1.36PPEdge
Fouls committed0.93 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.44bet365Edge
Tackles0.41 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
10%
1 of 102.6×
Cards0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.10 per 90
10%
1 of 103.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ferdi Kadıoğlu has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Ferdi Kadıoğlu in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ferdi KadıoğluBrighton & Hove Albion 370.80 0.63
Diogo DalotManchester United 340.83 0.86
Malo GustoChelsea 340.48 0.79
Timothy CastagneFulham 300.67 0.87
Matty CashAston Villa 350.89 1.22
Lucas DigneParis Saint-Germain 310.68 0.68
These 5, combined 0.73 0.91

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ferdi Kadıoğlu featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Arsenal19 Sep 76 0 1 0 0 0 1
@ Coventry City13 Sep 90 0 0 1 2 0 0
Leeds5 Sep 78 1 2 1 1 1 0
@ Chelsea30 Aug 90 0 1 0 1 0 0
Man Utd24 May 90 0 1 0 1 1 0
@ Leeds17 May 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
Wolves9 May 90 0 0 2 0 1 0
@ Newcastle2 May 90 0 0 3 0 0 0
Chelsea21 Apr 90 3 3 0 1 1 0
@ Tottenham18 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Michael Oliver 6 games Ferdi Kadıoğlu never booked 3.67cards/game 0.90×vs league
Chris Kavanagh 4 games Ferdi Kadıoğlu booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Peter Bankes 4 games Ferdi Kadıoğlu never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Darren England 3 games Ferdi Kadıoğlu booked in 1 4.30cards/game 1.05×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ferdi Kadıoğlu have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Ferdi Kadıoğlu has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ferdi Kadıoğlu average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Ferdi Kadıoğlu is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 1.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ferdi Kadıoğlu get booked?

Ferdi Kadıoğlu is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ferdi Kadıoğlu commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Ferdi Kadıoğlu commits 0.93 fouls per 90 and wins 0.62 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ferdi Kadıoğlu?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ferdi Kadıoğlu plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.