What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League full-back, 25/26, 1,736 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Lloyd Kelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Lloyd Kelly has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lloyd KellyJuventusUEFA Champions League | 9 | 0.70 | 2.34 |
| Wesley FofanaChelsea | 25 | 0.42 | 1.41 |
| Kevin DansoTottenham Hotspur | 24 | 0.66 | 1.25 |
| Kristoffer AjerBrentford | 27 | 0.49 | 1.14 |
| Maxence LacroixCrystal Palace | 35 | 0.70 | 0.99 |
| Omar AldereteSunderland | 33 | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| These 5, combined | 0.63 | 1.14 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lloyd Kelly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham1 Feb | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Tottenham4 Jan | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham25 Nov | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Arsenal2 Nov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea27 Oct | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham21 Sep | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Wolves15 Sep | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tottenham1 Sep | 68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Bournemouth25 Aug | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Southampton17 Aug | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lloyd Kelly have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Lloyd Kelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lloyd Kelly average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Lloyd Kelly is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.81 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lloyd Kelly get booked?
Lloyd Kelly is averaging 0.54 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lloyd Kelly commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lloyd Kelly commits 1.34 fouls per 90 and wins 1.34 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lloyd Kelly?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lloyd Kelly plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.