What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League midfielder, 25/26, 4,546 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Naouirou Ahamada has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable central midfielders
Naouirou Ahamada has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League central midfielders by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naouirou AhamadaAuxerreLigue 1 | 15 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| James Ward-ProwseSouthampton | 18 | 0.41 | 0.65 |
| Ao TanakaLeeds United | 28 | 1.15 | 0.88 |
| Curtis JonesInter | 34 | 1.06 | 0.78 |
| Kobbie MainooManchester United | 28 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Freddie PottsClub Brugge KV | 22 | 0.23 | 1.16 |
| These 5, combined | 0.76 | 0.82 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Naouirou Ahamada featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Wolves11 May | 71 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| @ Fulham27 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| West Ham21 Apr | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Man City6 Apr | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Luton9 Mar | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Burnley24 Feb | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Everton19 Feb | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chelsea12 Feb | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brighton3 Feb | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Arsenal20 Jan | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Naouirou Ahamada have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Naouirou Ahamada has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Naouirou Ahamada average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Naouirou Ahamada is averaging 0.83 shots on target and 2.49 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Naouirou Ahamada get booked?
Naouirou Ahamada is averaging 1.24 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Naouirou Ahamada commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Naouirou Ahamada commits 2.07 fouls per 90 and wins 0.83 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Naouirou Ahamada?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Naouirou Ahamada plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.