What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Giacomo Raspadori has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Giacomo Raspadori in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo RaspadoriAtalanta | 13 | 3.19 | 0.80 |
| Christian PulišićAC Milan | 30 | 3.02 | 0.61 |
| Che AdamsTorino | 33 | 2.52 | 0.85 |
| Andrea PinamontiLazio | 36 | 2.52 | 0.49 |
| Anastasios DouvikasComo | 38 | 2.61 | 1.42 |
| Patrick CutroneMonza | 15 | 2.53 | 0.71 |
| These 5, combined | 2.63 | 0.84 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Giacomo Raspadori featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Juventus20 Sep | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cagliari12 Sep | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bologna31 Aug | 56 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sassuolo23 Aug | 82 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Fiorentina22 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Bologna17 May | 64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AC Milan10 May | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Genoa2 May | 33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari27 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Giacomo Raspadori have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Giacomo Raspadori has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Giacomo Raspadori average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Giacomo Raspadori is averaging 0.71 shots on target and 2.83 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Giacomo Raspadori get booked?
Giacomo Raspadori is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Giacomo Raspadori commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Giacomo Raspadori commits 1.13 fouls per 90 and wins 0.99 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Giacomo Raspadori?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Giacomo Raspadori plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.