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Serie A 26/27
LA

Lautaro Martínez

Striker 100% of 30 recent starts InterSerie A 26/27

Next match
Inter vs Parma›
Sat 10 OctReferee Kevin Bonacina

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.70 per 90
70%
7 of 101.8×
1.10bet365Edge
Total shots4.19 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
1.05bet365Edge
Fouls won1.70 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
1.25PPEdge
Fouls committed1.70 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.5×
1.25PPEdge
Tackles1.70 per 90
70%
7 of 102.4×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.39 per 90
30%
3 of 104.1×
8.00bet365Edge
Goals0.92 per 90
40%
4 of 102.5×
form only
Assists0.26 per 90
20%
2 of 103.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lautaro Martínez has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Lautaro Martínez in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Lautaro MartínezInter 303.80 1.94
Marcus ThuramInter 293.48 2.02
Gianluca ScamaccaAtalanta 243.89 1.77
Moise KeanComo 264.31 1.28
Nikola KrstovićAtalanta 334.99 2.27
Giovanni SimeoneTorino 323.17 1.24
These 5, combined 3.93 1.68

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lautaro Martínez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ AS Roma19 Sep 90 2 6 0 0 2 0
SSC Napoli5 Sep 90 3 6 2 2 2 1
@ Cagliari29 Aug 90 1 10 1 0 2 0
Monza22 Aug 54 0 0 1 2 0 1
@ Bologna23 May 54 0 0 2 2 0 1
Hellas Verona17 May 75 2 4 2 1 2 0
@ Lazio9 May 63 1 1 1 1 1 0
Parma3 May 23 1 1 1 0 0 0
AS Roma5 Apr 58 3 3 0 4 1 0
Juventus14 Feb 90 0 1 3 1 3 0
Officials on record
Daniele Doveri 9 games Lautaro Martínez never booked 3.34cards/game 0.80×vs league
Davide Massa 8 games Lautaro Martínez booked in 1 5.18cards/game 1.24×vs league
Michael Fabbri 8 games Lautaro Martínez booked in 1 4.29cards/game 1.02×vs league
Simone Sozza 8 games Lautaro Martínez booked in 1 4.22cards/game 1.01×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees

Frequently asked

How often does Lautaro Martínez have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lautaro Martínez has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Lautaro Martínez average?

Across the last 10 Serie A games, Lautaro Martínez is averaging 1.70 shots on target and 4.19 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lautaro Martínez get booked?

Lautaro Martínez is averaging 0.39 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lautaro Martínez commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lautaro Martínez commits 1.70 fouls per 90 and wins 1.70 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lautaro Martínez?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lautaro Martínez plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.