What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lorenzo Lucca has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Lorenzo Lucca in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 63 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo LuccaSSC Napoli | 16 | 3.21 | 3.64 |
| Walid CheddiraSassuolo | 33 | 2.38 | 1.95 |
| Gennaro BorrelliCagliari | 27 | 2.12 | 3.11 |
| Vakoun Issouf BayoUdinese | 15 | 2.79 | 2.99 |
| Roberto PiccoliBologna | 32 | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| Francesco Pio EspositoInter | 35 | 3.26 | 1.66 |
| These 5, combined | 2.61 | 2.15 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lorenzo Lucca featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Fiorentina20 Sep | 37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Bologna13 Sep | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Inter5 Sep | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como30 Aug | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Genoa22 Aug | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parma14 Jan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hellas Verona7 Jan | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cremonese28 Dec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Udinese14 Dec | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma30 Nov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lorenzo Lucca have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Lorenzo Lucca has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lorenzo Lucca average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Lorenzo Lucca is averaging 0.67 shots on target and 4.03 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lorenzo Lucca get booked?
Lorenzo Lucca is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lorenzo Lucca commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lorenzo Lucca commits 3.36 fouls per 90 and wins 2.01 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lorenzo Lucca?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lorenzo Lucca plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.