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Bundesliga 25/26
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Sven Michel

Striker 71% of 7 recent starts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 25/26

Next match
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart›
Sat 10 OctReferee Felix Zwayer

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 45 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.51 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.68MGMEdge
Total shots3.56 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
1.04bet365Edge
Fouls won1.02 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.73bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.03 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.11bet365Edge
Tackles1.02 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.51 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
3.10bet365Edge
Goals0.51 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.51 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Sven Michel has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Sven Michel in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 48 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Sven MichelSC Paderborn 07 22.90 2.90
Keke ToppSV Werder Bremen 203.41 2.19
Fábio SilvaBorussia Dortmund 282.50 2.07
Mikkel Kaufmann1. FC Heidenheim 161.81 2.31
Conrad HarderRC Strasbourg 294.11 2.06
Ermedin DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 252.45 2.21
These 5, combined 2.87 2.16

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Sven Michel featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
VfL Wolfsburg25 May 50 0 2 1 0 0 1
@ VfL Wolfsburg21 May 12 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen18 May 16 0 0 0 0 1 0
VfB Stuttgart10 May 15 0 1 1 1 0 0
SV Werder Bremen27 Apr 29 0 1 1 0 1 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt19 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FC Union Berlin12 Apr 17 1 1 0 0 0 0
1. FC Köln31 Mar 8 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg16 Mar 11 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0517 Feb 9 0 1 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Daniel Schlager 5 games Sven Michel never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Harm Osmers 3 games Sven Michel booked in 2 4.30cards/game 1.06×vs league
Deniz Aytekin 3 games Sven Michel booked in 1 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Patrick Ittrich 3 games Sven Michel never booked 3.34cards/game 0.82×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Sven Michel have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Sven Michel has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Sven Michel average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Sven Michel is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 3.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Sven Michel get booked?

Sven Michel is averaging 0.51 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Sven Michel commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Sven Michel commits 2.03 fouls per 90 and wins 1.02 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Sven Michel?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Sven Michel plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.