Santiago Castro
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts AS RomaSerie A 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A striker, 25/26, 1,897 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Santiago Castro has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Santiago Castro in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 62 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago CastroAS Roma | 35 | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| M'bala NzolaCagliari | 30 | 2.31 | 1.72 |
| Rasmus HøjlundSSC Napoli | 33 | 1.96 | 1.21 |
| Roberto PiccoliBologna | 32 | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| Giovanni SimeoneTorino | 32 | 3.17 | 1.24 |
| Keinan DavisUdinese | 30 | 2.16 | 1.77 |
| These 5, combined | 2.40 | 1.50 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Santiago Castro featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Torino14 Sep | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Atalanta5 Sep | 27 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lecce31 Aug | 23 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Fiorentina22 Aug | 22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Inter23 May | 90 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta17 May | 69 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SSC Napoli11 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari3 May | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| AS Roma25 Apr | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Juventus19 Apr | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 16 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Santiago Castro have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Santiago Castro has hit 1+ shot on target in 20% (2 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Santiago Castro average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Santiago Castro is averaging 0.36 shots on target and 2.68 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Santiago Castro get booked?
Santiago Castro is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Santiago Castro commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Santiago Castro commits 1.25 fouls per 90 and wins 1.61 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Santiago Castro?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Santiago Castro plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.