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Premier League 26/27
NI

Nick Woltemade

Striker 75% of 24 recent starts NewcastlePremier League 26/27

Also in: Serie ABundesliga

Next match
Newcastle at Coventry City›
Mon 12 OctReferee John Brooks

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 34 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Premier League striker, 25/26, 1,416 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
Total shots0.58 per 90
30%
3 of 100.4×
Fouls won1.16 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
Fouls committed0.77 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
Tackles1.16 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.19 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
form only
Assists0.39 per 90
20%
2 of 104.3×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nick Woltemade has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Nick Woltemade in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 43 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Nick WoltemadeNewcastle United 331.49 0.93
Noah OkaforLeeds United 282.00 1.03
Eliezer MayendaStade Rennais 201.52 0.70
EvanilsonBournemouth 362.28 0.85
Alexander IsakLiverpool FC 142.14 0.63
Kai HavertzArsenal 122.78 1.23
These 5, combined 2.15 0.89

Recent matches

The last 10 games Nick Woltemade featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Tottenham29 Aug 19 0 1 0 2 0 0
@ Fulham24 May 77 0 0 0 1 1 0
West Ham17 May 75 1 1 0 0 1 0
@ Nottingham Forest10 May 61 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Arsenal25 Apr 15 0 0 0 1 0 0
Bournemouth18 Apr 14 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Crystal Palace12 Apr 16 0 0 1 0 0 0
Sunderland22 Mar 65 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ Chelsea14 Mar 67 0 0 1 1 3 0
Everton28 Feb 56 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Robert Jones 4 games Nick Woltemade never booked 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Andy Madley 3 games Nick Woltemade never booked 3.71cards/game 0.91×vs league
Jarred Gillett 3 games Nick Woltemade never booked 3.85cards/game 0.94×vs league
Peter Bankes 3 games Nick Woltemade never booked 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees

Frequently asked

How often does Nick Woltemade have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Premier League games, Nick Woltemade has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Nick Woltemade average?

Across the last 10 Premier League games, Nick Woltemade is averaging 0.19 shots on target and 0.58 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Nick Woltemade get booked?

Nick Woltemade is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Nick Woltemade commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Nick Woltemade commits 0.77 fouls per 90 and wins 1.16 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nick Woltemade?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nick Woltemade plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.